Source: Authors’ tabulations out-of Against and you can CPS data

Because around seem to be drops regarding the relationships price within years 59 and related goes up within decades sixty to possess widows we after that look at the Theory dos utilizing the trend in-marriage counts inside 2 yrs old sixty. This allows us to evaluate how surrounding the change for the decisions could be. We have fun with matters inside research just like the no research could provide reliable denominators to possess month-to-month costs. As the revealed about most useful committee away from Contour 5, from inside the 1979 to help you 1995 months the newest level amount of marriage ceremonies getting widows contained in this 24-few days variety ‘s the times of your own female’s 60th birthday celebration, which have particularly large matters in the 90 days pursuing the good woman’s 60th birthday celebration. A sharp decline in the days just before their particular 60th birthday celebration precedes which height. Which development is comparable, although not as noticable in the age before this new 1979 law changes.

30 days before 60th birthday celebration, the marriage count try 72 percent below brand new standard few days (this is the largest deviation regarding baseline)

Committee An effective (detailed statistics) shows that into the 1979–1995 period, the new level level of marriages getting widows when you look at the 24-week variety ‘s the woman’s 60th birthday celebration, having particularly highest counts from the ninety days following the a beneficial woman’s 60th birthday celebration. A sharp decrease in the few days before the 60th birthday celebration precedes one peak. Which trend is similar to, however due to the fact obvious throughout the age preceding the latest 1979 laws changes.

Committee B descriptors: Y-axis = Fee difference away from -24 months from 60th birthday; X-axis = Days of 60th birthday (-23 using +23).

Committee B (regression results) suggests that you’ll find ten weeks after ages 59 (60th birthday, +step 1, +dos, +step 3, +8, +several, +18, +twenty two, +23, +two years) where in actuality the wedding matters try statistically and you may financially high on post-1979 law several months according to the brand new pre-1979 law several months. Brand new development inside the 60th birthday celebration is actually dramatic. New matters in most months before brand new 60th birthday celebration will be same or lower than the newest standard month (2 years through to the 60th birthday). Likewise, how many marriage ceremonies into the 60th birthday try 56 % higher than the standard day. These counts are statistically unlike both on 1 % level. That, 2, and you will 3 months following 60th birthday, the number of marriage ceremonies is still 52, thirty-six, and you may 25 % higher than this new standard week, indicating that matrimony penalty from vackra heta Japanese yngre kvinnor inside the Public Defense was really influential on the women that have become close to decades 60. (Full regression results are available in Appendix Desk 3.)

Notes: Adjusted number of ong widows regarding the times and you will 12 months group. Speaking of simply from says which were throughout the MRA for all of the decades ranging from 1968 and you can 1995 and that said prior marital condition to their matrimony certificates. Get a hold of Appendix Table step three to own analytical dependence on personal coefficients.

I have twenty-eight several years of studies and employ the weeks within 24 months of your own 60th birthday celebration, to have a total of step one,372 observations

ln ( marriage count month , year ) = ? + ? ? ( month ) + ? ? ( month * after 1979 law change ) + ? ? ( year ) + ? , where < month>

Our oriented changeable ‘s the sheer journal of the monthly number off marriages, prior to this new 60th birthday celebration. All of our independent variables is month dummies, with 2 yrs through to the 60th birthday celebration excluded; and you may an interacting with each other amongst the day dummies and you may if the big date period is actually 1979 or after. We likewise incorporate season dummies in order to account fully for the potential for a period development in marriage matters, to the omitted sounding 1968.